in the country are busy clearing their farms and making last minutes burnings
ahead of what is expected to be another successful season. Forecasters at the
Department of Water Resources during a recent press briefing, hinted that the
first showers of the 2019 rainy season is expected around mid- June in parts of
the Upper and Central River regions.
In rural Gambia, farmers are busy making last minute preparations as we welcome this year’s season. As always, The Gambia normally expect first showers around June and last for 3 to 4 months.
However, to understand the forecast, one must understand that seasonal forecasting relies on prediction of averages over space and time, and may not reflect all the various factors that influence regional and national climate differences. This activity is relevant only for the entire season and within relatively large areas, since local and month-to-month variations may occur.
We also call on communities to be on the alert and as the rainy season always comes with flooding. Rainfall results are usually expressed as being either below normal, normal or above normal and the forecast are only valid for the combined period of July, August and September (JAS), when approximately 80% of the total seasonal rainfall occurs in the sub region, including The Gambia.
The cessation of rainfalls are expected after 15th October in the East half and after 25th in the Western half.
Officials hinted that long spells of about 4 to 12 days are expected during both the beginning and end of the season. It is worthy of note that 2019 rainfall season is expected to undergo similar variability as in the 2018 season.
“The best thing one can do when it’s raining is to let it rain.”
Henry Wadsworth Longfellow